Avdeevka Encirclement + US Prepares Ukraine for “Last Chance” Offensive, Surging Ammunition

Update on Russian military operations for March 20, 2023:

• Russian forces are not only encircling the fortified city of Bakhmut, but now also apparently Avdiivka;
• Both cities are heavily fortified positions along Ukraine’s main defense line in the Donbass region and their encirclement will compromise the entire defense line;
• Western media continues admitting critical shortages of Ukrainian manpower, weapons, and ammunition;
• As Ukraine is preparing for its spring offensive, the US and its allies are likely utilizing emergency stockpiles to surge the amount of artillery and rocket ammunition to Ukraine in amounts much higher than have recently been transferred;
• This surge is a one-time possibility after which Western stockpiles will be exhausted and future shipments will depend mainly on monthly ammunition production which and will be for several years unable to match or exceed Russian ammunition supplies;
• Ukraine is being forced to organize a massive offensive using poorly trained troops operating equipment they are unfamiliar with against Russian forces who have been preparing to meet this offensive months in advance;
• Ukrainian forces could once again compel Russian forces into withdrawals but will suffer immense losses before facing counteroffensives comprised of 350k Russian reservists;

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