Brian Berletic: Why US Artillery Shell Production Isn’t Enough & Why Other Munitions Will Fall Far Shorter Still

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US artillery shell production is increasing solely because the US Army owns and controls the means of production;

  • Despite the surge capacity already on hand when the decision was made to expand production, the US Army is required to build entirely new facilities to meet the production target of 80,000-100,000 155 mm shells a month;
  • Even if the US meets its target by 2025, it is depending on Europe to reach the 200,000 shells a month (2.4 million/year) Ukraine is said to need on the battlefield;
  • Russia currently produces 2 million rounds a year and is still expanding production;
  • Russian state-owned arms industry allows it to maintain large amounts of surge capacity across all munitions, vehicles, and weapons production;
  • If the US finds itself in a multi-year struggle to catch up to a nation with a smaller economy and population, it suggests attempts to match or exceed the production capacity of China with a much larger population, industrial base, and soon-to-be larger economy are unlikely to succeed;
  • What the US must do to out-produce its adversaries in war, pivot from a profit to purpose-driven economy, would negate the primary motivations for the US to wage war in the first place;